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Red129
299030.5
252133.1
703451.0
Blue119
95544.5
99976.9
142555.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12211650100150200129119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+14Teleop
+16Endgame
+10Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
7Coral scored#7
34Coral points34
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +14
16Coral scored#14
56Coral points52
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
18Processor points12
12Net points8
30Algae points20
86Total teleop72
Reef
6L4#6
8L3#7
7L2#6
2L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#25
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points6
129Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.00.8
49.450.2
Auto17.4
Teleop27.8
End5.9
blue by 4.0
55.00.2
54.454.2
Auto16.4
Teleop30.1
End8.6
Second
2521
#15
33.10.8
32.333.1
Auto11.7
Teleop19.0
End2.3
blue by 11.4
955
#13
44.50.2
45.144.9
Auto15.2
Teleop29.1
End0.2
Third
2990
#14
30.50.8
27.528.3
Auto3.5
Teleop22.4
End4.5
red by 23.6
9997
#18
6.90.3
7.16.9
Auto4.2
Teleop2.7
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed