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Red117
784043.5
1039630.8
1038316.3
Blue43
497219.1
1021327.2
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions983805015011743

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+16Auto
+56Teleop
+68Endgame
+74Fouls
AutonomousRed +16
9Leave0
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
22Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +40
14Coral scored#7
49Coral points25
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
12Processor points0
12Net points8
24Algae points8
73Total teleop33
Reef
6L4#2
4L3#2
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#10
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +74
6Foul points0
117Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.51.9
38.740.6
Auto10.5
Teleop27.4
End5.6
red by 16.2
27.20.0
26.326.3
Auto4.9
Teleop21.3
End1.0
Second
30.81.9
25.927.7
Auto5.2
Teleop24.3
End1.3
red by 11.7
4972
#11
19.10.0
12.312.3
Auto4.0
Teleop14.0
End1.1
Third
16.31.9
18.320.2
Auto4.9
Teleop9.3
End2.0
red by 9.8
6.50.0
4.14.2
Auto3.5
Teleop2.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsEarned5%Barge oddsMissed