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Red78
947317.2
566531.7
1039630.8
Blue98
1021327.2
643149.1
999710.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87894060801001207898

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+20
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points7
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +17
13Coral scored#16
45Coral points56
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
63Total teleop80
Reef
3L4#7
5L3#6
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
78Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5665
#18
31.70.2
35.535.3
Auto6.1
Teleop24.7
End0.9
blue by 17.4
49.10.9
49.650.5
Auto8.4
Teleop39.9
End0.7
Second
30.80.2
29.128.9
Auto5.2
Teleop24.3
End1.3
red by 3.6
27.20.9
26.327.2
Auto4.9
Teleop21.3
End1.0
Third
9473
#19
17.20.2
16.616.3
Auto3.4
Teleop12.0
End1.8
red by 6.7
9997
#14
10.51.3
8.59.8
Auto4.1
Teleop5.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed3%Barge oddsMissed