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Red32
1021327.2
566531.7
784043.5
Blue95
808434.6
999710.5
497219.1
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147320501002003295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+12
Teleop+53
Endgame+55
Fouls+63
AutonomousBlue +12
6Leave0
2Coral scored#5
8Coral points26
14Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +41
3Coral scored#11
10Coral points41
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
14Total teleop55
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#6
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
6Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +63
0Foul points8
32Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7840
#4DQ
43.56.0
45.539.6
Auto10.5
Teleop27.4
End5.6
red by 8.9
34.63.5
28.431.9
Auto9.3
Teleop24.7
End0.5
Second
5665
#18
31.76.0
46.340.3
Auto6.1
Teleop24.7
End0.9
red by 12.6
4972
#11
19.13.5
11.414.9
Auto4.0
Teleop14.0
End1.1
Third
27.26.0
29.523.5
Auto4.9
Teleop21.3
End1.0
red by 16.7
9997
#14
10.54.8
4.49.1
Auto4.1
Teleop5.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed3%Barge oddsMissed