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Red0
645970.2
815971.7
926418.7
Blue113
643149.1
599333.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions177850501502002503003500113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+63Teleop
+63Endgame
Fouls+113
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave6
6Coral scored#5
31Coral points24
40Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +53
29Coral scored#18
104Coral points65
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
136Total teleop83
Reef
14L4#6
9L3#8
7L2#6
5L1 · trough#3
42Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
0Cage & park0
0Total endgame0
Penalties & totalBlue +113
-176Foul points0
0Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8159
#1DQ
71.70.4
70.170.6
Auto19.3
Teleop50.3
End2.1
red by 22.6
49.10.5
49.349.8
Auto8.4
Teleop39.9
End0.7
Second
6459
#2DQ
70.20.4
68.669.1
Auto18.2
Teleop51.8
End0.2
red by 36.3
33.90.5
34.234.7
Auto8.5
Teleop24.0
End1.4
Third
9264
#10DQ
18.70.4
17.117.5
Auto6.9
Teleop10.1
End1.7
red by 12.2
6.50.5
6.06.5
Auto3.5
Teleop2.1
End0.9