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Red57
125739.8
872123.7
465222.1
Blue16
87049.5
48617.8
549011.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1134501001502005716

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+41Teleop
+37Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave3
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points3
19Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +28
6Coral scored#1
22Coral points2
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
0Processor points0
8Net points0
8Algae points0
30Total teleop2
Reef
3L4#1
3L3#1
2L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
11Game pieces#2
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
6Foul points2
57Total score16

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.82.7
42.339.6
Auto10.0
Teleop27.9
End2.0
red by 22.0
486
#22
17.82.1
19.917.8
Auto4.3
Teleop10.4
End3.1
Second
8721
#24
23.72.7
24.121.4
Auto6.3
Teleop16.1
End1.3
red by 11.9
5490
#28
11.82.3
14.211.8
Auto3.7
Teleop6.2
End1.9
Third
4652
#30
22.12.7
24.822.1
Auto4.0
Teleop15.1
End3.0
red by 12.6
8704
#31
9.52.1
11.69.5
Auto3.1
Teleop4.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
28%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed