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Red94
475020.1
909447.8
457526.6
Blue107
31642.1
622642.2
255916.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103110608012014016094107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+39
Endgame+15
Fouls+13
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points13
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +46
9Coral scored#16
33Coral points59
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#3
6Processor points18
4Net points12
10Algae points30
43Total teleop89
Reef
4L4#9
5L3#3
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#25
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
2Foul points0
94Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.80.2
48.448.1
Auto13.3
Teleop27.0
End7.5
red by 5.6
6226
#20
42.20.6
41.842.3
Auto3.9
Teleop36.3
End2.0
Second
4575
#25
26.60.2
26.926.7
Auto5.6
Teleop17.2
End3.7
blue by 15.5
316
#10
42.10.6
41.441.9
Auto11.1
Teleop29.2
End1.8
Third
4750
#27
20.10.3
20.420.1
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End4.7
red by 3.7
2559
#23
16.40.6
15.516.1
Auto4.7
Teleop9.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed37%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsMissed