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Red158
36557.4
10356.9
872123.7
Blue150
201634.3
32140.1
48448.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1511196080100140160180200220158150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+12
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave6
6Coral scored#6
30Coral points31
36Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +11
19Coral scored#19
68Coral points69
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
12Processor points18
16Net points20
28Algae points38
96Total teleop107
Reef
7L4#10
9L3#7
4L2#4
5L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#33
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
158Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#1
57.40.5
55.155.6
Auto8.9
Teleop40.9
End7.6
red by 8.5
484
#14
48.90.7
45.546.2
Auto10.9
Teleop34.3
End3.7
Second
103
#2
56.90.5
54.655.1
Auto7.2
Teleop43.2
End6.5
red by 16.8
321
#26
40.10.7
36.737.4
Auto14.9
Teleop23.5
End1.8
Third
8721
#24
23.70.5
21.421.9
Auto6.3
Teleop16.1
End1.3
blue by 10.6
2016
#18
34.30.7
30.931.6
Auto4.6
Teleop28.1
End1.7