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Red188
353956.1
69475.6
349230.1
Blue121
412250.1
414551.3
1051519.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions177124100150200188121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+31Teleop
+49Endgame
+67Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave0
10Coral scored#6
51Coral points30
51Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +10
17Coral scored#15
61Coral points55
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
18Processor points18
16Net points12
34Algae points30
95Total teleop85
Reef
8L4#8
6L3#6
7L2#5
6L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#27
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +67
18Foul points0
188Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#1
75.60.2
75.475.6
Auto20.2
Teleop45.4
End10.0
red by 24.3
4145
#11
51.30.0
51.351.3
Auto11.8
Teleop35.0
End4.5
Second
56.10.2
55.956.1
Auto20.2
Teleop30.3
End5.6
red by 6.0
50.10.0
50.150.1
Auto14.2
Teleop27.4
End8.5
Third
3492
#22
30.10.3
29.830.1
Auto5.4
Teleop23.2
End1.5
red by 10.6
19.50.0
19.519.5
Auto5.9
Teleop12.9
End0.7