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Red133
412250.1
574043.1
70917.3
Blue78
37935.6
405014.1
398416.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8477406010012013378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+41Teleop
+49Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave6
6Coral scored#3
28Coral points14
37Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +24
13Coral scored#8
48Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
66Total teleop42
Reef
9L4#5
4L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#14
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
6Foul points0
133Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.14.3
34.038.3
Auto14.2
Teleop27.4
End8.5
red by 14.5
379
#4
35.60.6
29.229.8
Auto6.3
Teleop21.3
End7.9
Second
43.15.9
26.732.6
Auto13.0
Teleop23.0
End7.1
red by 26.4
3984
#37
16.70.8
22.122.9
Auto4.1
Teleop9.4
End3.2
Third
709
#31
17.33.5
13.517.0
Auto4.1
Teleop11.5
End1.7
red by 3.2
4050
#26
14.10.8
19.320.1
Auto3.1
Teleop9.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsEarned