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Red85
217224.3
749718.0
239938.6
Blue53
1058214.0
902218.9
414551.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions797955657075858553

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+38Teleop
+30Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points23
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +45
13Coral scored#3
47Coral points12
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
61Total teleop16
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#2
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
2Foul points0
85Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.60.7
33.934.6
Auto8.3
Teleop27.4
End2.9
blue by 12.7
4145
#11
51.32.2
33.431.2
Auto11.8
Teleop35.0
End4.5
Second
2172
#33
24.31.1
18.019.2
Auto4.5
Teleop17.7
End2.1
red by 5.4
9022
#27
18.92.2
19.317.1
Auto3.8
Teleop13.3
End1.8
Third
7497
#18
18.00.7
18.319.0
Auto3.7
Teleop13.6
End0.7
red by 4.0
14.02.2
17.114.9
Auto4.1
Teleop7.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsEarned