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Red60
350426.1
941521.7
751525.8
Blue40
405014.1
1051610.2
415017.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5877020401001201406040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+28Teleop
+32Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +21
7Coral scored#4
26Coral points13
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
0Processor points0
8Net points0
8Algae points0
34Total teleop13
Reef
3L4#1
4L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#6
BargeRed +4
10Cage & park6
10Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points12
60Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3504
#21
26.10.6
22.122.6
Auto7.0
Teleop16.3
End2.9
red by 8.2
4150
#50
17.94.4
25.320.9
Auto5.5
Teleop8.9
End3.6
Second
7515
#36
25.80.6
17.317.9
Auto4.1
Teleop17.7
End4.0
red by 11.7
4050
#26
14.14.4
20.115.8
Auto3.1
Teleop9.8
End1.2
Third
9415
#15
21.70.6
12.613.1
Auto4.3
Teleop15.3
End2.1
red by 11.5
10.24.4
19.515.1
Auto4.3
Teleop4.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsEarned