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Red74
947519.5
67726.1
217224.3
Blue53
1051221.4
426927.5
1051317.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions767840506070901001107453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+21Teleop
+21Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +15
9Coral scored#9
31Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
12Processor points6
12Net points0
24Algae points6
55Total teleop40
Reef
3L4#4
4L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points0
74Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
677
#17
26.10.8
23.824.7
Auto6.0
Teleop17.6
End2.5
blue by 1.4
4269
#28
27.51.5
21.419.9
Auto3.9
Teleop20.1
End3.5
Second
2172
#33
24.30.8
21.121.9
Auto4.5
Teleop17.7
End2.1
red by 2.9
21.41.5
21.520.1
Auto3.6
Teleop13.9
End3.9
Third
9475
#13
19.50.8
18.519.4
Auto6.3
Teleop11.9
End1.3
red by 2.0
17.51.5
17.215.7
Auto5.5
Teleop10.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed