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Red71
1051317.5
170838.5
749718.0
Blue109
412250.1
412129.0
37935.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions639605015020071109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+2
Endgame+34
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave6
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points17
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +12
11Coral scored#9
40Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
58Total teleop46
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +32
4Cage & park36
4Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points4
71Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1708
#19
38.51.1
24.125.2
Auto5.0
Teleop32.0
End1.5
blue by 11.6
50.11.9
32.034.0
Auto14.2
Teleop27.4
End8.5
Second
7497
#18
18.00.8
18.919.6
Auto3.7
Teleop13.6
End0.7
blue by 17.6
379
#4
35.61.9
27.329.2
Auto6.3
Teleop21.3
End7.9
Third
17.51.4
17.518.9
Auto5.5
Teleop10.7
End1.3
blue by 11.4
29.02.4
24.026.4
Auto6.5
Teleop18.6
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsEarned