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Red48
902218.9
26418.5
1020719.6
Blue121
499128.6
412250.1
170838.5
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3412205010015048121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+65
Endgame+73
Fouls+73
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave6
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points17
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +54
6Coral scored#14
22Coral points52
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#4
6Processor points18
4Net points16
10Algae points34
32Total teleop86
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#5
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#4
10Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +8
4Cage & park12
4Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +73
0Foul points0
48Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.60.3
14.715.0
Auto6.8
Teleop11.1
End1.7
blue by 30.5
50.11.2
39.340.5
Auto14.2
Teleop27.4
End8.5
Second
9022
#27
18.90.3
18.919.2
Auto3.8
Teleop13.3
End1.8
blue by 19.5
1708
#19
38.52.0
32.834.8
Auto5.0
Teleop32.0
End1.5
Third
2641
#52
8.50.3
5.65.9
Auto2.6
Teleop4.9
End1.0
blue by 20.1
4991
#12
28.62.0
25.827.8
Auto4.0
Teleop21.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed