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Red75
574043.1
1051610.2
541313.9
Blue63
67726.1
26418.5
749718.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8053020401001201401607563

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
0Teleop0
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave3
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points10
26Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +13
6Coral scored#7
23Coral points26
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
27Total teleop40
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#2
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#12
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
6Foul points6
75Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.10.2
43.543.7
Auto13.0
Teleop23.0
End7.1
red by 17.0
677
#17
26.10.5
25.626.1
Auto6.0
Teleop17.6
End2.5
Second
5413
#46
13.90.2
13.713.9
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End2.3
blue by 4.1
7497
#18
18.00.3
17.718.0
Auto3.7
Teleop13.6
End0.7
Third
10.20.2
10.010.2
Auto4.3
Teleop4.0
End1.9
red by 1.7
2641
#52
8.50.5
8.69.1
Auto2.6
Teleop4.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed