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Red119
574043.1
37935.6
350426.1
Blue120
6334.0
11737.4
170838.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11512380100140160119120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
Teleop+3
Endgame+1
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave0
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points9
27Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +21
17Coral scored#24
62Coral points87
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
86Total teleop107
Reef
8L4#6
6L3#11
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#5
27Game pieces#30
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points0
119Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.10.4
42.743.1
Auto13.0
Teleop23.0
End7.1
red by 4.6
1708
#19
38.50.3
37.938.1
Auto5.0
Teleop32.0
End1.5
Second
379
#4
35.60.3
35.335.6
Auto6.3
Teleop21.3
End7.9
blue by 1.8
117
#7
37.40.3
36.837.0
Auto5.2
Teleop27.0
End5.2
Third
3504
#21
26.10.4
25.826.1
Auto7.0
Teleop16.3
End2.9
blue by 7.8
63
#14
34.00.3
33.433.6
Auto4.5
Teleop25.3
End4.1