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Red114
217224.3
446732.4
239938.6
Blue109
6334.0
11737.4
170838.5
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions961236080140160180114109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+7Teleop
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
3Leave3
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points9
20Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +1
17Coral scored#14
62Coral points51
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
12Processor points12
8Net points20
20Algae points32
82Total teleop83
Reef
9L4#5
6L3#5
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +2
12Cage & park14
12Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
114Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.60.6
36.437.0
Auto8.3
Teleop27.4
End2.9
red by 0.1
1708
#19
38.50.1
37.237.3
Auto5.0
Teleop32.0
End1.5
Second
4467
#23
32.40.6
30.831.4
Auto9.0
Teleop21.1
End2.3
blue by 5.0
117
#7
37.40.1
36.136.2
Auto5.2
Teleop27.0
End5.2
Third
2172
#33
24.30.8
21.422.1
Auto4.5
Teleop17.7
End2.1
blue by 9.7
63
#14
34.00.1
32.732.8
Auto4.5
Teleop25.3
End4.1