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Red77
121836.8
223414.6
32138.0
Blue111
255911.9
86244.3
259043.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88925060708010011012013077111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+40
Endgame+40
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
5Coral scored#4
23Coral points20
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +37
6Coral scored#13
22Coral points47
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
32Total teleop69
Reef
3L4#6
4L3#4
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
8Foul points2
77Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
321
#14
38.01.2
31.129.9
Auto12.7
Teleop22.4
End2.9
blue by 6.3
862
#3
44.32.7
36.739.5
Auto9.7
Teleop29.6
End5.0
Second
36.81.2
30.128.8
Auto7.2
Teleop23.6
End6.0
blue by 6.8
2590
#10
43.62.5
28.030.5
Auto10.0
Teleop26.5
End7.0
Third
2234
#20
14.61.1
13.512.4
Auto3.2
Teleop6.8
End4.6
red by 2.7
2559
#30
11.92.7
12.715.4
Auto4.6
Teleop6.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned50%Barge oddsEarned