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Red100
253952.5
680818.1
42715.8
Blue110
540124.9
259043.6
108929.0
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7898204060120140160180100110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+10
Endgame+6
Fouls+10
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
5Coral scored#4
26Coral points19
26Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +17
8Coral scored#13
30Coral points47
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
12Processor points12
16Net points16
28Algae points28
58Total teleop75
Reef
4L4#7
3L3#5
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#23
BargeRed +4
16Cage & park12
16Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points4
100Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.51.8
48.950.8
Auto10.7
Teleop32.3
End9.5
red by 8.9
2590
#10
43.61.2
37.939.2
Auto10.0
Teleop26.5
End7.0
Second
18.11.8
16.818.6
Auto3.9
Teleop12.6
End1.5
blue by 10.9
29.01.2
27.829.0
Auto3.8
Teleop22.7
End2.5
Third
427
#29
15.81.8
9.611.4
Auto5.8
Teleop8.0
End2.0
blue by 9.1
5401
#13
24.91.2
23.624.8
Auto5.5
Teleop19.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsMissed