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Red92
70838.8
1058416.3
31634.2
Blue114
259043.6
42715.8
260747.6
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9511105015020025092114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+16
Endgame+16
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points26
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +13
13Coral scored#16
47Coral points56
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
12Processor points12
4Net points8
16Algae points20
63Total teleop76
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#7
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#5
19Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +22
2Foul points8
92Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
708
#4
38.80.0
38.738.8
Auto7.6
Teleop24.7
End6.5
blue by 8.9
47.60.1
45.845.9
Auto7.5
Teleop36.3
End3.8
Second
316
#18
34.20.0
34.234.2
Auto7.7
Teleop25.9
End0.6
blue by 9.3
2590
#10
43.60.1
41.741.8
Auto10.0
Teleop26.5
End7.0
Third
16.30.0
16.316.3
Auto5.4
Teleop9.6
End1.4
red by 0.6
427
#29
15.80.1
13.914.0
Auto5.8
Teleop8.0
End2.0