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Qual 172025 HAVOC
Red122
70841.0
171240.6
237714.2
Blue133
901552.4
511317.9
259037.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1301286080100120140160180122133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+13
Endgame+11
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +8
6Leave6
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points11
9Total auto17
TeleoperatedBlue +5
19Coral scored#16
69Coral points56
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#7
12Processor points18
16Net points28
28Algae points46
97Total teleop102
Reef
9L4#8
4L3#5
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#28
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points0
122Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
708
#19
41.00.1
42.542.6
Auto7.0
Teleop28.9
End5.1
blue by 11.4
52.40.4
46.947.4
Auto13.8
Teleop35.2
End3.4
Second
1712
#25
40.60.1
39.039.1
Auto5.6
Teleop28.1
End7.0
red by 2.8
2590
#20
37.80.4
41.041.5
Auto5.8
Teleop24.4
End7.6
Third
2377
#27
14.20.1
12.212.3
Auto4.3
Teleop8.8
End1.2
blue by 3.7
17.90.4
14.915.4
Auto2.8
Teleop11.5
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
41%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned91%Barge oddsEarned