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Qual 242025 HAVOC
Red128
42311.4
30323.1
164032.6
Blue125
171240.6
201619.8
909446.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85147050100200250128125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+3Teleop
Endgame+9
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave3
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points20
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +14
18Coral scored#18
64Coral points66
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#2
12Processor points12
24Net points8
36Algae points20
100Total teleop86
Reef
9L4#9
6L3#7
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
12Foul points0
128Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1640
#17
32.61.8
32.234.0
Auto9.1
Teleop20.9
End2.7
blue by 13.5
46.10.6
44.744.1
Auto10.8
Teleop28.9
End6.2
Second
303
#10
23.11.8
23.225.0
Auto4.6
Teleop17.2
End1.3
blue by 17.5
1712
#25
40.60.6
39.138.5
Auto5.6
Teleop28.1
End7.0
Third
423
#11
11.41.8
9.711.5
Auto1.8
Teleop7.8
End1.8
blue by 8.4
2016
#28
19.80.6
23.222.6
Auto3.0
Teleop15.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsEarned