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Match 122025 HAVOC
Red114
518153.4
540143.6
121856.5
Blue146
260765.8
237714.2
253955.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions177144050100200250300114146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+18
Endgame+34
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +28
6Leave0
2Coral scored#9
10Coral points44
16Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +10
16Coral scored#15
56Coral points54
4Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
24Processor points12
16Net points20
40Algae points32
96Total teleop86
Reef
7L4#8
5L3#8
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
26Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +16
0Cage & park16
0Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +32
2Foul points0
114Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.51.0
57.456.5
Auto15.9
Teleop31.3
End9.3
blue by 9.4
65.80.3
65.065.3
Auto18.6
Teleop38.8
End8.3
Second
53.41.0
54.453.4
Auto9.1
Teleop40.2
End4.1
blue by 1.6
55.00.3
54.254.5
Auto13.3
Teleop35.7
End6.1
Third
5401
#29
43.61.0
44.643.6
Auto4.3
Teleop36.8
End2.6
red by 29.4
2377
#27
14.20.3
13.513.8
Auto4.3
Teleop8.8
End1.2