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Red115
811727.0
540720.4
1007024.7
Blue126
209516.6
121855.4
1000116.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77814060100120115126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+7
Endgame+17
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points19
12Total auto19
Teleoperatedlevel
18Coral scored#14
65Coral points51
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#6
12Processor points18
16Net points24
28Algae points42
93Total teleop93
Reef
8L4#5
5L3#4
4L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
6Foul points0
115Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8117
#20
27.01.9
25.127.0
Auto4.5
Teleop21.3
End1.2
blue by 28.4
55.43.1
36.839.8
Auto12.6
Teleop34.5
End8.4
Second
24.71.9
19.521.4
Auto5.6
Teleop16.5
End2.6
red by 8.1
2095
#11
16.63.1
13.116.2
Auto5.9
Teleop7.5
End3.1
Third
5407
#14
20.41.9
18.120.0
Auto4.5
Teleop11.9
End4.0
red by 4.3
16.13.5
19.522.9
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsEarned