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Red51
811727.0
1000116.1
223414.4
Blue75
42322.3
437333.8
434239.8
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5710201505175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+26
Endgame+24
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points10
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +23
6Coral scored#11
22Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
32Total teleop55
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#5
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points0
51Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8117
#20
27.00.4
29.228.8
Auto4.5
Teleop21.3
End1.2
blue by 12.8
4342
#10
39.80.9
40.539.6
Auto8.4
Teleop30.5
End0.9
Second
16.10.7
16.716.1
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End1.6
blue by 17.8
33.81.6
29.027.4
Auto11.3
Teleop20.5
End2.0
Third
2234
#26
14.40.4
11.210.8
Auto3.1
Teleop8.5
End2.8
blue by 7.9
423
#9
22.30.9
19.618.6
Auto3.5
Teleop14.6
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed