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Red96
42322.3
1058423.9
27235.8
Blue134
463715.2
909434.7
34164.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6011905010015020096134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+26
Endgame+38
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave9
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points14
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +15
14Coral scored#20
52Coral points71
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
70Total teleop85
Reef
6L4#7
4L3#8
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points0
96Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
#18
35.82.6
30.733.3
Auto6.5
Teleop22.2
End7.1
blue by 28.6
341
#2
64.41.2
57.358.5
Auto15.2
Teleop40.3
End8.9
Second
23.91.5
16.317.9
Auto6.7
Teleop14.9
End2.4
blue by 10.8
34.72.0
27.929.9
Auto9.1
Teleop20.7
End5.0
Third
423
#9
22.31.5
13.715.2
Auto3.5
Teleop14.6
End4.2
red by 7.1
4637
#21
15.22.0
16.618.6
Auto4.4
Teleop9.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsEarned