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Red113
245821.3
253969.3
209516.6
Blue58
70911.9
1023217.0
437333.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11849010015020011358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+41Teleop
+55Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points16
26Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +34
13Coral scored#8
45Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
6Processor points6
20Net points4
26Algae points10
71Total teleop37
Reef
7L4#4
5L3#2
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#13
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
0Foul points0
113Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.30.5
66.867.3
Auto15.3
Teleop43.5
End10.6
red by 35.5
33.80.2
31.431.2
Auto11.3
Teleop20.5
End2.0
Second
2458
#13
21.30.6
21.221.8
Auto6.0
Teleop12.6
End2.7
red by 4.2
17.00.2
15.615.4
Auto3.1
Teleop11.7
End2.2
Third
2095
#11
16.60.5
14.915.3
Auto5.9
Teleop7.5
End3.1
red by 4.6
709
#24
11.90.1
10.510.4
Auto3.9
Teleop6.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed