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Red40
437333.8
1007024.7
1014313.5
Blue101
116840.7
434239.8
139145.2
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6411705010015040101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+51
Endgame+61
Fouls+61
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +41
6Coral scored#15
20Coral points55
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#4
6Processor points0
4Net points16
10Algae points16
30Total teleop71
Reef
4L4#7
1L3#4
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +61
0Foul points0
40Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.83.3
27.724.5
Auto11.3
Teleop20.5
End2.0
blue by 11.4
45.21.1
37.636.5
Auto9.0
Teleop30.5
End5.8
Second
24.72.0
21.419.5
Auto5.6
Teleop16.5
End2.6
blue by 16.0
40.70.7
27.426.8
Auto12.2
Teleop23.2
End5.2
Third
10143
#25DQ
13.53.3
14.110.9
Auto3.9
Teleop7.9
End1.7
blue by 26.4
4342
#10
39.80.7
37.236.6
Auto8.4
Teleop30.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsMissed77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsEarned