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Qual 512025 FMA District Springside Chestnut Hill Event
Red65
245821.3
42322.3
811727.0
Blue116
139145.2
1014313.5
909434.7
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions839005015020065116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+39
Endgame+51
Fouls+51
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave9
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points17
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +22
11Coral scored#14
38Coral points50
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
52Total teleop74
Reef
4L4#8
3L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +51
0Foul points0
65Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8117
#20
27.01.0
28.5→27.6
Auto4.5
Teleop21.3
End1.2
blue by 18.3
1391
#4
45.22.3
42.1→44.4
Auto9.0
Teleop30.5
End5.8
Second
423
#9
22.31.0
23.5→22.5
Auto3.5
Teleop14.6
End4.2
blue by 12.4
9094
#8
34.72.1
31.7→33.8
Auto9.1
Teleop20.7
End5.0
Third
2458
#13
21.31.2
21.8→20.6
Auto6.0
Teleop12.6
End2.7
red by 7.8
10143
#25
13.52.3
8.7→11.0
Auto3.9
Teleop7.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsMissed75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsEarned