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Red139
34163.4
1015720.1
260771.2
Blue33
680815.2
43318.2
998915.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20245010015025030035013933

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+16Auto
+74Teleop
+94Endgame
+106Fouls
AutonomousRed +16
3Leave0
5Coral scored#3
26Coral points13
29Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +58
17Coral scored#4
60Coral points14
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
0Processor points0
12Net points0
12Algae points0
72Total teleop14
Reef
7L4#4
6L3#1
4L2#1
5L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#7
BargeRed +20
20Cage & park0
20Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +106
18Foul points6
139Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.22.8
65.863.0
Auto17.7
Teleop45.2
End8.4
red by 53.0
433
#31
18.23.1
26.323.2
Auto5.0
Teleop10.6
End2.7
Second
341
#10
63.42.8
69.766.9
Auto12.0
Teleop44.2
End7.2
red by 48.3
6808
#22
15.23.1
24.621.5
Auto3.8
Teleop10.8
End0.6
Third
20.12.8
25.122.3
Auto5.7
Teleop9.9
End4.7
red by 5.2
9989
#29
15.05.2
17.011.8
Auto3.8
Teleop10.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
55%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsMissed