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Red78
909437.8
998414.5
998915.0
Blue113
29331.9
83457.7
540136.7
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3315905010020025030078113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+19
Endgame+41
Fouls+35
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points14
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +19
9Coral scored#14
31Coral points50
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
45Total teleop64
Reef
4L4#7
3L3#3
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
6Foul points0
78Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9094
#26
37.80.4
39.539.9
Auto11.5
Teleop22.1
End4.2
blue by 19.9
834
#11
57.71.7
61.159.4
Auto10.3
Teleop36.4
End11.0
Second
9989
#29
15.00.7
9.19.8
Auto3.8
Teleop10.2
End0.8
blue by 21.7
5401
#14
36.71.7
36.835.1
Auto3.4
Teleop29.5
End3.9
Third
9984
#24
14.50.7
7.78.5
Auto5.4
Teleop7.4
End1.6
blue by 17.3
293
#25
31.91.7
34.833.0
Auto8.9
Teleop15.2
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed91%Barge oddsEarned