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Red122
910017.0
260765.4
863028.2
Blue97
1000119.5
901417.3
255434.0
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1086905010015012297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+19Teleop
+31Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
5Coral scored#5
24Coral points26
33Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +12
14Coral scored#13
51Coral points45
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
75Total teleop63
Reef
9L4#5
4L3#5
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#22
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points6
122Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.42.0
49.551.5
Auto16.2
Teleop39.7
End9.5
red by 31.4
2554
#11
34.01.8
33.535.4
Auto7.5
Teleop25.6
End1.0
Second
8630
#18
28.22.0
26.128.2
Auto11.3
Teleop16.1
End0.9
red by 8.8
19.51.8
17.118.9
Auto6.6
Teleop11.2
End1.7
Third
9100
#24
17.02.0
16.118.1
Auto2.9
Teleop13.0
End1.2
blue by 0.3
9014
#29
17.31.8
13.114.9
Auto6.3
Teleop7.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsMissed