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Red127
30332.6
518137.8
692137.6
Blue107
1000119.5
19332.6
43328.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131774060100120140160180200127107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+24Teleop
+18Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points19
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +27
23Coral scored#17
83Coral points60
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
105Total teleop78
Reef
10L4#9
6L3#4
4L2#5
6L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +6
4Cage & park10
4Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
2Foul points0
127Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.80.1
38.939.0
Auto6.3
Teleop25.8
End5.8
red by 5.2
193
#8
32.61.4
29.230.6
Auto3.9
Teleop24.7
End3.9
Second
6921
#16
37.60.1
37.537.6
Auto6.0
Teleop30.5
End1.1
red by 9.0
433
#9
28.61.4
26.728.1
Auto5.2
Teleop18.2
End5.2
Third
303
#12
32.60.1
32.632.7
Auto3.9
Teleop27.4
End1.4
red by 13.2
19.51.4
18.419.7
Auto6.6
Teleop11.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsMissed