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Red117
1015719.0
260765.4
1040017.5
Blue103
901417.3
81618.5
139153.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10993406080100120140160117103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+18Teleop
+18Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points10
26Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +11
14Coral scored#13
51Coral points46
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
75Total teleop64
Reef
7L4#4
3L3#3
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
2Foul points6
117Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.40.6
59.059.6
Auto16.2
Teleop39.7
End9.5
red by 12.0
53.50.1
51.551.6
Auto9.0
Teleop38.0
End6.4
Second
19.00.6
16.817.4
Auto4.6
Teleop10.1
End4.3
red by 0.5
816
#27
18.50.1
16.216.3
Auto2.7
Teleop12.5
End3.3
Third
17.50.6
17.918.5
Auto4.1
Teleop11.9
End1.5
red by 0.2
9014
#29
17.30.1
17.517.6
Auto6.3
Teleop7.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsEarned