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Red100
863028.2
680825.7
30332.6
Blue58
255434.0
1040017.5
457526.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1029305015010058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+48Teleop
+38Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave9
3Coral scored#0
16Coral points0
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +38
18Coral scored#6
63Coral points23
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
0Processor points6
12Net points8
12Algae points14
75Total teleop37
Reef
11L4#2
5L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +10
2Cage & park12
2Total endgame12
Penalties & totalRed +42
4Foul points0
100Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#12
32.60.1
32.232.3
Auto3.9
Teleop27.4
End1.4
blue by 1.4
2554
#11
34.00.8
34.834.0
Auto7.5
Teleop25.6
End1.0
Second
8630
#18
28.20.1
27.928.0
Auto11.3
Teleop16.1
End0.9
red by 1.5
4575
#20
26.80.8
27.526.8
Auto6.2
Teleop16.1
End4.5
Third
6808
#14
25.70.1
25.425.5
Auto4.5
Teleop19.6
End1.7
red by 8.2
17.50.8
18.317.5
Auto4.1
Teleop11.9
End1.5