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Red210
331471.3
941623.1
260765.4
Blue100
1015719.0
1150.6
437338.3
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16910550150200250210100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+82Teleop
+98Endgame
+110Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
3Leave6
9Coral scored#3
44Coral points17
47Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +58
25Coral scored#12
91Coral points43
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
115Total teleop57
Reef
13L4#7
10L3#4
7L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
39Game pieces#18
BargeRed +16
36Cage & park20
36Total endgame20
Penalties & totalRed +110
12Foul points0
210Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.31.0
68.769.6
Auto18.7
Teleop42.9
End9.7
red by 20.7
11
#10
50.60.2
49.349.2
Auto11.3
Teleop29.4
End10.0
Second
65.41.0
62.863.8
Auto16.2
Teleop39.7
End9.5
red by 27.2
38.30.2
37.036.8
Auto11.4
Teleop22.5
End4.4
Third
9416
#22
23.11.0
20.521.5
Auto3.3
Teleop14.3
End5.6
red by 4.1
19.00.2
17.717.6
Auto4.6
Teleop10.1
End4.3