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Red209
945082.5
252270.8
956731.0
Blue132
99736.4
669659.5
94845.9
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions209159100250300209132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+79Teleop
+79Endgame
+77Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave0
9Coral scored#6
47Coral points30
47Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +62
28Coral scored#18
100Coral points64
4Processor algae#1
6Net algae#4
24Processor points6
24Net points16
48Algae points22
148Total teleop86
Reef
11L4#9
14L3#6
5L2#4
7L1 · trough#5
47Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +77
0Foul points2
209Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9450
#15
82.50.4
78.779.2
Auto19.0
Teleop53.3
End10.2
red by 23.0
6696
#31
59.52.6
61.558.8
Auto11.4
Teleop47.1
End1.1
Second
70.80.4
69.269.6
Auto21.5
Teleop44.7
End4.6
red by 24.9
948
#44
45.92.6
46.744.0
Auto9.1
Teleop31.1
End5.8
Third
9567
#21
31.00.4
31.632.0
Auto8.8
Teleop18.3
End4.0
blue by 5.4
997
#33
36.42.6
39.837.1
Auto8.4
Teleop27.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
94%Coral oddsEarned45%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsEarned