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Red126
398640.7
543936.4
544021.6
Blue93
398515.4
77008.1
399048.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7891020406010012014016012693

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+39Teleop
+27Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave9
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points11
23Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +36
14Coral scored#13
51Coral points45
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#1
12Processor points6
28Net points4
40Algae points10
91Total teleop55
Reef
6L4#5
5L3#4
2L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
8Foul points2
126Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.73.7
20.123.8
Auto14.9
Teleop21.5
End4.4
blue by 7.9
48.70.2
42.943.1
Auto13.6
Teleop27.2
End7.9
Second
36.43.7
26.930.7
Auto8.4
Teleop21.0
End7.1
red by 21.0
3985
#30
15.40.2
14.314.5
Auto4.5
Teleop7.9
End2.9
Third
5440
#13
21.63.7
19.323.1
Auto3.7
Teleop14.7
End3.3
red by 13.5
7700
#33
8.10.2
16.817.0
Auto2.3
Teleop4.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed62%Barge oddsEarned