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Red66
353311.2
760529.0
910217.5
Blue78
311727.8
399614.2
923433.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70762040601001201406678

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +12
10Coral scored#13
37Coral points45
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
51Total teleop63
Reef
3L4#7
5L3#4
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
66Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7605
#20
29.00.2
25.225.4
Auto6.1
Teleop21.9
End1.0
blue by 4.1
33.11.1
19.720.7
Auto5.0
Teleop22.8
End5.3
Second
9102
#27
17.50.2
19.519.6
Auto3.5
Teleop11.9
End2.2
blue by 10.2
3117
#22
27.81.1
20.721.8
Auto4.8
Teleop20.7
End2.3
Third
3533
#31
11.20.2
16.917.0
Auto3.4
Teleop5.4
End2.5
blue by 3.0
3996
#34
14.21.1
25.526.6
Auto2.6
Teleop10.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed