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Red81
544320.4
923433.1
65407.8
Blue140
262625.2
940627.3
692915.9
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4878020406010012014081140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+7Teleop
Endgame+5
Fouls+59
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +4
13Coral scored#10
45Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
59Total teleop55
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#3
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
6Foul points60
81Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.13.2
24.227.4
Auto5.0
Teleop22.8
End5.3
red by 5.8
27.30.6
31.632.2
Auto4.2
Teleop17.8
End5.2
Second
5443
#19
20.43.2
14.717.9
Auto5.3
Teleop13.8
End1.2
blue by 4.9
2626
#12
25.20.6
17.918.5
Auto3.6
Teleop18.7
End2.9
Third
6540
#37
7.83.2
7.010.3
Auto2.2
Teleop3.9
End1.7
blue by 8.2
6929
#25
15.90.6
15.916.5
Auto4.8
Teleop4.9
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsEarned