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Red46
354422.8
815212.7
962428.3
Blue80
910217.5
336028.9
544320.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71622040801004680

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+34
Endgame+34
Fouls+34
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points13
19Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +34
5Coral scored#12
17Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
6Processor points6
0Net points8
6Algae points14
23Total teleop57
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#4
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points0
46Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9624
#14
28.32.3
23.020.7
Auto8.1
Teleop17.1
End3.1
blue by 0.5
3360
#15
28.92.2
19.721.8
Auto5.5
Teleop20.0
End3.4
Second
3544
#26
22.82.3
22.820.6
Auto6.0
Teleop14.5
End2.2
red by 2.4
5443
#19
20.42.2
17.920.1
Auto5.3
Teleop13.8
End1.2
Third
8152
#32
12.72.3
14.512.2
Auto3.6
Teleop7.4
End1.7
blue by 4.9
9102
#27
17.52.2
17.519.7
Auto3.5
Teleop11.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed