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Red50
77008.1
552835.0
353213.4
Blue54
692915.9
561821.1
353311.2
48%Model gave it52%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions686850556065705054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+20Teleop
+22Endgame
Fouls+4
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave0
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +10
4Coral scored#3
14Coral points12
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
6Processor points6
8Net points0
14Algae points6
28Total teleop18
Reef
3L4#1
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#5
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points26
50Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.00.8
31.330.5
Auto9.2
Teleop17.0
End8.8
red by 13.8
5618
#16
21.13.2
22.719.5
Auto5.4
Teleop13.5
End2.2
Second
3532
#21
13.40.8
13.712.9
Auto3.1
Teleop9.2
End1.1
blue by 2.5
6929
#25
15.93.2
16.513.3
Auto4.8
Teleop4.9
End6.2
Third
7700
#33
8.10.8
9.38.5
Auto2.3
Teleop4.0
End1.8
blue by 3.1
3533
#31
11.23.2
15.111.9
Auto3.4
Teleop5.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed