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Red109
398640.7
355025.8
686911.7
Blue60
544021.6
80678.4
65407.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions975420408012014010960

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+49Teleop
+49Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave6
4Coral scored#0
20Coral points0
20Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +35
14Coral scored#5
49Coral points18
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
71Total teleop36
Reef
7L4#2
6L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
12Foul points12
109Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.70.3
33.033.4
Auto14.9
Teleop21.5
End4.4
red by 19.1
5440
#13
21.61.9
22.020.1
Auto3.7
Teleop14.7
End3.3
Second
3550
#10
25.80.3
26.627.0
Auto5.7
Teleop15.9
End4.2
red by 17.5
8067
#35
8.41.9
11.59.7
Auto2.8
Teleop3.6
End1.9
Third
6869
#36
11.70.3
13.513.8
Auto3.7
Teleop7.1
End0.9
red by 3.9
6540
#37
7.81.9
10.28.3
Auto2.2
Teleop3.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed