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Red38
495517.0
544320.4
940627.3
Blue97
760529.0
82249.6
543936.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions827740601001201403897

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+45
Endgame+45
Fouls+59
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points13
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +45
4Coral scored#14
14Coral points49
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
18Total teleop63
Reef
2L4#6
1L3#3
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
6Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
0Foul points14
38Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.33.2
32.229.0
Auto4.2
Teleop17.8
End5.2
blue by 9.2
36.40.6
36.837.4
Auto8.4
Teleop21.0
End7.1
Second
5443
#19
20.43.2
22.018.8
Auto5.3
Teleop13.8
End1.2
blue by 8.6
7605
#20
29.00.6
26.026.6
Auto6.1
Teleop21.9
End1.0
Third
4955
#24
17.03.2
19.816.6
Auto6.3
Teleop9.3
End1.4
red by 7.3
8224
#29
9.60.6
10.110.8
Auto3.0
Teleop4.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsMissed