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Red140
301555.5
354422.8
399048.7
Blue110
398640.7
494741.3
561821.1
86%Model gave it14%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13811080100120160180200140110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+30Teleop
+34Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave3
7Coral scored#7
37Coral points34
40Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +27
15Coral scored#11
54Coral points41
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
82Total teleop55
Reef
7L4#5
8L3#4
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#5
28Game pieces#21
BargeRed +4
16Cage & park12
16Total endgame12
Penalties & totalRed +30
2Foul points6
140Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.50.4
53.954.2
Auto15.6
Teleop32.4
End7.5
red by 14.1
41.30.0
41.241.2
Auto6.3
Teleop25.5
End9.5
Second
48.70.4
47.147.4
Auto13.6
Teleop27.2
End7.9
red by 7.9
40.70.0
40.640.6
Auto14.9
Teleop21.5
End4.4
Third
3544
#26
22.80.4
21.221.5
Auto6.0
Teleop14.5
End2.2
red by 1.6
5618
#16
21.10.0
21.021.0
Auto5.4
Teleop13.5
End2.2