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Red163
808535.1
19071.7
206441.5
Blue61
34821.5
944329.8
206727.9
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161685010015020016361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+23Auto
+84Teleop
+96Endgame
+102Fouls
AutonomousRed +23
9Leave0
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points9
32Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +61
21Coral scored#8
77Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
99Total teleop38
Reef
10L4#4
7L3#3
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
31Game pieces#12
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +102
6Foul points0
163Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#1
71.71.0
67.768.7
Auto18.3
Teleop45.0
End8.4
red by 41.9
9443
#13
29.80.8
26.826.0
Auto4.5
Teleop19.4
End6.0
Second
41.51.0
40.741.6
Auto8.0
Teleop25.1
End8.4
red by 13.6
2067
#23
27.91.2
29.228.0
Auto8.3
Teleop13.6
End6.0
Third
8085
#11
35.11.0
34.235.2
Auto3.3
Teleop26.4
End5.4
red by 13.6
348
#18
21.50.8
16.816.0
Auto3.1
Teleop15.1
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
48%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsEarned