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Red72
81122.1
135017.2
169947.0
Blue155
176852.4
19071.7
147417.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions791525010020072155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+27
Teleop+61
Endgame+83
Fouls+83
AutonomousBlue +27
0Leave0
2Coral scored#7
9Coral points36
9Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +34
10Coral scored#18
35Coral points63
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
53Total teleop87
Reef
4L4#7
3L3#10
4L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
16Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +83
6Foul points6
72Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.01.6
46.244.5
Auto6.1
Teleop37.6
End3.4
blue by 24.7
190
#1
71.71.0
68.769.7
Auto18.3
Teleop45.0
End8.4
Second
811
#24
22.11.1
22.120.9
Auto2.8
Teleop16.8
End2.5
blue by 30.3
52.41.0
47.548.5
Auto7.7
Teleop37.7
End7.0
Third
1350
#31
17.21.6
14.713.1
Auto4.1
Teleop11.1
End2.0
blue by 0.4
1474
#26
17.71.4
18.119.5
Auto3.3
Teleop12.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsMissed63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed38%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed78%Barge oddsEarned