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Red124
169947.0
573522.2
115345.9
Blue108
1025431.8
206727.9
174034.7
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1381036080120160180200124108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
+22Teleop
+14Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousBlue +18
3Leave3
4Coral scored#7
19Coral points37
22Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +40
17Coral scored#11
62Coral points38
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#1
12Processor points12
20Net points4
32Algae points16
94Total teleop54
Reef
11L4#6
4L3#5
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +16
2Foul points0
124Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.00.2
47.047.2
Auto6.1
Teleop37.6
End3.4
red by 12.2
1740
#17
34.70.4
34.434.7
Auto12.7
Teleop18.7
End3.3
Second
45.90.2
45.946.1
Auto6.4
Teleop31.4
End8.1
red by 14.1
31.80.3
31.531.8
Auto5.1
Teleop19.9
End6.8
Third
5735
#20
22.20.2
22.222.4
Auto3.4
Teleop16.5
End2.3
blue by 5.7
2067
#23
27.90.3
27.527.9
Auto8.3
Teleop13.6
End6.0