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Red34
1001916.7
930214.2
827619.0
Blue94
115659.1
640412.0
911019.7
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5312401001502002503494

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+44
Endgame+46
Fouls+60
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +34
4Coral scored#9
14Coral points34
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
18Total teleop52
Reef
1L4#3
2L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +60
6Foul points20
34Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.02.0
18.016.0
Auto5.4
Teleop12.1
End1.5
blue by 40.1
59.12.1
69.567.4
Auto12.5
Teleop38.3
End8.3
Second
16.72.7
25.222.5
Auto3.3
Teleop11.1
End2.3
blue by 3.1
19.72.1
22.120.0
Auto6.8
Teleop11.2
End1.7
Third
9302
#10
14.22.9
12.29.2
Auto3.0
Teleop9.6
End1.6
red by 2.2
6404
#20
12.02.1
11.49.3
Auto3.0
Teleop8.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed32%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsMissed